Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.004372 0.004599 0.004832 0.005090 0.005368 0.005659 0.005986
2025-11-09 0.004044 0.004386 0.004752 0.005177 0.005657 0.006185 0.006814
2025-11-16 0.003767 0.004166 0.004608 0.005135 0.005751 0.006453 0.007323
2025-11-23 0.003575 0.004017 0.004516 0.005127 0.005861 0.006723 0.007828
2025-11-30 0.003380 0.003846 0.004382 0.005051 0.005873 0.006864 0.008171
2025-12-07 0.003220 0.003704 0.004270 0.004988 0.005890 0.007002 0.008505
2025-12-14 0.003108 0.003611 0.004208 0.004979 0.005966 0.007210 0.008936
2025-12-21 0.002939 0.003440 0.004042 0.004830 0.005853 0.007163 0.009020
2025-12-28 0.002862 0.003380 0.004009 0.004843 0.005946 0.007387 0.009477
2026-01-04 0.002811 0.003348 0.004008 0.004896 0.006090 0.007682 0.010049
2026-01-11 0.002727 0.003269 0.003944 0.004863 0.006115 0.007813 0.010391
2026-01-18 0.002659 0.003210 0.003900 0.004853 0.006170 0.007986 0.010802
2026-01-25 0.002585 0.003140 0.003842 0.004822 0.006195 0.008119 0.011165
2026-02-01 0.002560 0.003133 0.003867 0.004904 0.006381 0.008494 0.011923
2026-02-08 0.002491 0.003065 0.003807 0.004865 0.006392 0.008608 0.012277
2026-02-15 0.002437 0.003016 0.003770 0.004858 0.006446 0.008789 0.012749
2026-02-22 0.002364 0.002938 0.003692 0.004787 0.006404 0.008818 0.012969
2026-03-01 0.002299 0.002870 0.003624 0.004730 0.006377 0.008869 0.013227
2026-03-08 0.002255 0.002829 0.003592 0.004721 0.006423 0.009036 0.013694
2026-03-15 0.002168 0.002727 0.003473 0.004583 0.006265 0.008869 0.013562
2026-03-22 0.002136 0.002700 0.003458 0.004595 0.006340 0.009079 0.014116
2026-03-29 0.002118 0.002691 0.003468 0.004644 0.006472 0.009389 0.014878
2026-04-05 0.002075 0.002646 0.003425 0.004613 0.006476 0.009486 0.015245